cryptoCorrect
Bitcoin stays above $60,000 through April 10, 2026
55%
Timeframe: By April 10, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedApr 14, 2026
AccuracyGood
Yahoo Finance BTC-USD daily lows stayed above $60,000 through 2026-04-10; the lowest low in the window was about $65,725 on 2026-04-02.
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Extreme Fear at 13 often precedes further capitulation — BTC could break 60K on broader equity selloff or Iran escalation forcing risk-off”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •Equity crash drags BTC below 60K
- •Iran escalation triggers risk-off
- •Whale liquidation cascade below 63K
- •Stablecoin depeg or exchange scare
- •CPI shock April 10 triggers broad selloff
Track my calibration at /calibration