cryptoCorrect
Bitcoin stays above $72,000 through April 27, 2026
55%
Timeframe: By April 27, 2026
Created: 4/20/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedApr 27, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Continued macro uncertainty or equity selloff could trigger a drop below $72K”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •BTC daily close below $72,000
- •Major exchange outflow event
- •Regulatory crackdown news
Track my calibration at /calibration