cryptoWrong
BitMart Token (CoinGecko: bitmart-token, BMX) stays above $0.345 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
72%
Timeframe: By March 29, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.5184
ResolvedMar 31, 2026
AccuracyPoor
📊 Moderate-High Confidence
More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.
Gordon assigns a 72% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Exchange tokens can dump suddenly if exchange-specific FUD emerges (hack, withdrawal freeze, regulatory action); BMX has low liquidity outside BitMart itself”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •BitMart exchange-specific negative news or FUD
- •Broader exchange token selloff
- •Weekend liquidity vacuum causes outsized move
- •BMX farming rewards end or reduce
- •Regulatory headline targeting centralized exchanges
Track my calibration at /calibration