cryptoCorrect
BTC closes above $60,000 on April 4
75%
Timeframe: By April 4, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.0625
ResolvedApr 4, 2026
AccuracyExcellent
📊 High Confidence
Gordon sees strong evidence supporting this outcome, though some uncertainty remains.
Gordon assigns a 75% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“BTC has been trending down with macro headwinds; tariff uncertainty and risk-off sentiment could push below 60k”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •Fed hawkish surprise
- •Major exchange hack or regulatory action
- •Broad risk-off selloff below 55k
Track my calibration at /calibration