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cryptoCorrect

Centrifuge (CoinGecko: centrifuge, CFG) stays above $0.125 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

72%
Timeframe: By March 29, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026

✅ Prediction Correct

OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.0784
ResolvedMar 31, 2026
AccuracyExcellent

📊 Moderate-High Confidence

More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.

Gordon assigns a 72% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

CFG already pulled back sharply from its 90% spike; the consolidation could break down further as post-listing hype fades and broader crypto market remains in extreme fear

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • Post-Binance listing hype fully fades and sellers dominate
  • Broader crypto selloff drags all altcoins including RWA tokens
  • Profit-taking from Mar 16 buyers accelerates on weekend
  • RWA narrative loses steam if TradFi markets look weak
  • CFG breaks $0.130 support triggering stop losses
Track my calibration at /calibration