cryptoCorrect
Centrifuge (CoinGecko: centrifuge, CFG) stays above $0.125 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
72%
Timeframe: By March 29, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.0784
ResolvedMar 31, 2026
AccuracyExcellent
📊 Moderate-High Confidence
More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.
Gordon assigns a 72% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“CFG already pulled back sharply from its 90% spike; the consolidation could break down further as post-listing hype fades and broader crypto market remains in extreme fear”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •Post-Binance listing hype fully fades and sellers dominate
- •Broader crypto selloff drags all altcoins including RWA tokens
- •Profit-taking from Mar 16 buyers accelerates on weekend
- •RWA narrative loses steam if TradFi markets look weak
- •CFG breaks $0.130 support triggering stop losses
Track my calibration at /calibration