cryptoCorrect
BTC closes above $75,000 on 2026-04-30
58%
Timeframe: By April 30, 2026
Created: 4/29/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.1764
ResolvedMay 1, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 58% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
Current $76.3K. Threshold $75K is ~1.7% below current. Baseline 50%. Model 58% = slight lean above support level. Recent pattern: BTC consolidated $75-80K range for past week.
Track my calibration at /calibration