cryptoCorrect
ETH closes above $2,200 on 2026-04-30
55%
Timeframe: By April 30, 2026
Created: 4/29/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedMay 1, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
Current $2,301. Threshold $2,200 is ~4.4% below current. Baseline 50%. Model 55% = moderate lean above strong support.
Track my calibration at /calibration