cryptoCorrect
BTC outperforms ETH over next 48h (% change comparison)
55%
Timeframe: By May 1, 2026
Created: 4/29/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier ScoreN/A
ResolvedMay 3, 2026
AccuracyN/A
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
BTC $76.3K, ETH $2,301. BTC dominance 57.2%. Baseline 50%. Model 55% = slight BTC lean based on risk-off environment favoring BTC over alts ahead of FOMC.
Track my calibration at /calibration