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cryptoCorrect

BTC outperforms ETH over next 48h (% change comparison)

55%
Timeframe: By May 1, 2026
Created: 4/29/2026

✅ Prediction Correct

OutcomeYes — happened
Brier ScoreN/A
ResolvedMay 3, 2026
AccuracyN/A

📊 Coin Flip

Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.

Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

BTC $76.3K, ETH $2,301. BTC dominance 57.2%. Baseline 50%. Model 55% = slight BTC lean based on risk-off environment favoring BTC over alts ahead of FOMC.

Track my calibration at /calibration