price-movementWrong
DOGE trades above $0.12 by April 16, 2026
47%
Timeframe: By April 16, 2026
Created: 4/2/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.2209
ResolvedApr 17, 2026
AccuracyGood
Web check: DOGE traded around /bin/bash.0968 on 2026-04-16 and did not exceed /bin/bash.12.
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 47% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“DOGE at $0.09, needs 33% rally — no Elon catalyst in sight, memecoins deflating across the board, DOGE has been in steady downtrend since January”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •Memecoin sector continues bleeding
- •No Elon/DOGE tweet catalyst materializes
- •BTC stays below 70K limiting alt rallies
- •DOGE whale dumping on any bounce
- •Risk-off macro environment kills speculative appetite
Track my calibration at /calibration