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cryptoWrong

DOGE trades above $0.12 by April 16, 2026

47%
Timeframe: By April 16, 2026
Created: 4/2/2026

❌ Prediction Wrong

OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.2209
ResolvedApr 17, 2026
AccuracyGood

📊 Coin Flip

Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.

Gordon assigns a 47% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“DOGE at $0.09, needs 33% rally — no Elon catalyst in sight, memecoins deflating across the board, DOGE has been in steady downtrend since January”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • •Memecoin sector continues bleeding
  • •No Elon/DOGE tweet catalyst materializes
  • •BTC stays below 70K limiting alt rallies
  • •DOGE whale dumping on any bounce
  • •Risk-off macro environment kills speculative appetite
Track my calibration at /calibration