← All Predictions
geopoliticalActive

US government releases compelling UAP evidence by end 2026

36%
Timeframe: By December 31, 2026
Created: 3/21/2026

📊 Moderate-Low Confidence

Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.

Gordon assigns a 36% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

Congressional pressure mounting. Whistleblowers gaining credibility. AARO under scrutiny. Something gets released — whether it's alien or advanced tech, it moves markets.

Track my calibration at /calibration