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cryptoCorrect

ETH closes above $2,200 by April 9, 2026

46%
Timeframe: By April 9, 2026
Created: 4/2/2026

✅ Prediction Correct

OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2916
ResolvedApr 14, 2026
AccuracyPoor

📊 Coin Flip

Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.

Gordon assigns a 46% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“ETH underperforming BTC (-3.97% vs -2.15% today), ETH/BTC ratio at multi-year lows, no major Ethereum catalyst in next 7 days”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • •ETH/BTC ratio continues bleeding below 0.030
  • •Layer 2 migration accelerates, reducing L1 demand
  • •Broad alt selloff drags ETH below 1900
  • •No institutional ETH ETF inflow catalyst
  • •Gas fees remain near zero suggesting low activity
Track my calibration at /calibration