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cryptoWrong

Ethereum spot ETF sees net positive inflows in Q2 2026

55%
Timeframe: By April 10, 2026
Created: 3/27/2026

❌ Prediction Wrong

OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.3025
ResolvedApr 16, 2026
AccuracyPoor

📊 Coin Flip

Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.

Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“ETH narrative has weakened vs Solana. Institutions may prefer BTC-only exposure.”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • •Regulatory crackdown on ETH staking
  • •BTC dominance continues rising
  • •Broad crypto bear market deepens
Track my calibration at /calibration