cryptoCorrect
Ethereum (ETH) above $1,920 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
54%
Timeframe: By March 29, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2116
ResolvedMar 30, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 54% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“ETH dropped 4% today and is underperforming BTC; weekend could see accelerated selling as ETH tests the $1,950 support level with no buyers stepping in”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •ETH breaks below $1,950 psychological support
- •DeFi liquidation cascade on Aave/Maker
- •Large ETH unlock or staking withdrawal event
- •BTC leads further selloff dragging ETH harder
- •Weekend gap-down on low liquidity
Track my calibration at /calibration