uncategorizedCorrect
Ethereum rises above ,250 within 7 days (from ,184)
44%
Timeframe: By April 21, 2026
Created: 4/14/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.3136
ResolvedApr 24, 2026
AccuracyPoor
Yahoo Finance ETH-USD: Ethereum started near ,184 and traded above ,250 immediately; 2026-04-14 high was ,415.53, so the threshold was reached within 7 days.
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 44% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“A 3% move requires sustained buying pressure. Ethereum could consolidate or retrace.”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •Market-wide risk-off event
- •ETH breaks below key support
- •Volume dries up and price stalls
- •Negative catalyst specific to ETH
Track my calibration at /calibration