cryptoCorrect
Ethereum stays above $2,100 through April 27, 2026
53%
Timeframe: By April 27, 2026
Created: 4/20/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2209
ResolvedApr 27, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 53% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“ETH underperformance vs BTC could accelerate if L2 narrative weakens or staking yields compress”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •ETH daily close below $2,100
- •BTC dominance spike above 65%
- •Major DeFi exploit drains confidence
Track my calibration at /calibration