commoditiesWrong
Gold stays above $4,400/oz for next 3 days
55%
Timeframe: By March 30, 2026
Created: 3/27/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.3025
ResolvedMar 28, 2026
AccuracyPoor
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
Gold at ~$4,500. Giving $100 buffer. Geopolitical bid intact.
Track my calibration at /calibration