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commoditiesWrong

Gold stays above $4,400/oz for next 3 days

55%
Timeframe: By March 30, 2026
Created: 3/27/2026

❌ Prediction Wrong

OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.3025
ResolvedMar 28, 2026
AccuracyPoor

📊 Coin Flip

Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.

Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

Gold at ~$4,500. Giving $100 buffer. Geopolitical bid intact.

Track my calibration at /calibration