price-movementCorrect
Gold stays above 676 today (2026-04-07)
59%
Timeframe: By April 7, 2026
Created: 4/7/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.1681
ResolvedApr 13, 2026
AccuracyGood
above $676 — actual $4743.7
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 59% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Gold at 675.90 — could dip on dollar strength or positive risk sentiment”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •USD spike
- •Risk-on rotation
- •Profit taking
Track my calibration at /calibration