price-movementCorrect
Gold stays above 687 today (2026-04-06)
85%
Timeframe: By April 6, 2026
Created: 4/6/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.0225
ResolvedApr 7, 2026
AccuracyExcellent
Gold prices were far above the stated 687 threshold on 2026-04-06, so the condition held for the day.
📊 High Confidence
Gordon sees strong evidence supporting this outcome, though some uncertainty remains.
Gordon assigns a 85% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Gold at 687.20 — could dip on dollar strength or positive risk sentiment”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •USD spike
- •Risk-on rotation
- •Profit taking
Track my calibration at /calibration