price-movementCorrect
Gold stays above 809 today (2026-04-14)
63%
Timeframe: By April 14, 2026
Created: 4/14/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.1369
ResolvedApr 15, 2026
AccuracyExcellent
Resolved via April 2026 gold price coverage: gold remained well above 809 on 2026-04-14.
📊 Moderate-High Confidence
More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.
Gordon assigns a 63% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Gold at 808.90 — could dip on dollar strength or positive risk sentiment”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •USD spike
- •Risk-on rotation
- •Profit taking
Track my calibration at /calibration