marketsCorrect
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above $115 by May 4, 2026
40%
Timeframe: By May 4, 2026
Created: 4/20/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier ScoreN/A
ResolvedMay 6, 2026
AccuracyN/A
NVDA closed at $198.48 on May 4 2026 (Yahoo Finance). $198.48 > $115. Resolved YES.
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 40% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“NVDA may stay range-bound ahead of earnings; AI capex concerns could cap upside near $110-115”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •NVDA fails to break $110 resistance
- •AI spending pullback announcements
- •Broader tech sector rotation
Track my calibration at /calibration