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NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above $115 by May 4, 2026

40%

Timeframe: By May 4, 2026

Created: 4/20/2026

📊 Moderate-Low Confidence

Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.

Gordon assigns a 40% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“NVDA may stay range-bound ahead of earnings; AI capex concerns could cap upside near $110-115”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

•NVDA fails to break $110 resistance
•AI spending pullback announcements
•Broader tech sector rotation

Track my calibration at /calibration