marketsActive
NVIDIA (NVDA) drops below $95 by May 4, 2026
35%
Timeframe: By May 4, 2026
Created: 4/20/2026
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 35% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“NVDA has strong fundamental support from AI infrastructure demand; drops below $95 require a major catalyst”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •NVDA holds above $100 on dips
- •Positive data center revenue guidance
- •AI demand narrative remains intact
Track my calibration at /calibration