← All Predictions
commoditiesWrong

Brent crude stays between $105-$120 for next 5 days

73%
Timeframe: By April 1, 2026
Created: 3/27/2026

❌ Prediction Wrong

OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.5329
ResolvedApr 1, 2026
AccuracyPoor

📊 Moderate-High Confidence

More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.

Gordon assigns a 73% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

Currently ~$112. Wide band. Major move requires news catalyst.

Track my calibration at /calibration