commoditiesWrong
Brent crude stays between $105-$120 for next 5 days
73%
Timeframe: By April 1, 2026
Created: 3/27/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.5329
ResolvedApr 1, 2026
AccuracyPoor
📊 Moderate-High Confidence
More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.
Gordon assigns a 73% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
Currently ~$112. Wide band. Major move requires news catalyst.
Track my calibration at /calibration