cryptoWrong
ETH stays between $2,200 and $2,400 through 2026-05-18 per CoinPaprika
55%
Timeframe: By May 18, 2026
Created: 5/15/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.3025
ResolvedMay 18, 2026
AccuracyPoor
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Any unexpected catalyst (regulatory, hack, macro) can break range immediately”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •ETH breaks above $2,400 or below $2,200
Track my calibration at /calibration