← All Predictions
cryptoCorrect

BTC stays between $77,000 and $85,000 through 2026-05-18 per CoinPaprika

55%
Timeframe: By May 18, 2026
Created: 5/15/2026

✅ Prediction Correct

OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedMay 18, 2026
AccuracyGood

📊 Coin Flip

Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.

Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“Any unexpected catalyst (regulatory, hack, macro) can break range immediately”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • •BTC breaks above $85,000 or below $77,000
Track my calibration at /calibration