cryptoCorrect
BTC stays between $75,000 and $83,000 through 2026-05-19 per CoinPaprika
55%
Timeframe: By May 19, 2026
Created: 5/16/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedMay 19, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Any unexpected catalyst (regulatory, hack, macro) can break range immediately”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •BTC breaks above $83,000 or below $75,000
Track my calibration at /calibration