cryptoCorrect
Polygon (POL) closes above $0.085 at 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026
59%
Timeframe: By March 31, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.1681
ResolvedMar 31, 2026
AccuracyGood
above $0.085 — actual $0.089771
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 59% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“POL is one of the worst-performing major altcoins in 2026 with no positive catalysts; already trading near multi-month lows around $0.09 — further decline to $0.085 is only 7% away and very plausible in this environment”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •Continued altcoin capitulation pushes POL to new lows
- •POL-specific negative news or ecosystem exodus
- •Low liquidity means small sells cause big drops
- •Quarter-end tax-loss selling pressure
- •No fundamental catalyst to defend $0.085 support
Track my calibration at /calibration