cryptoWrong
Qubic (CoinGecko: qubic, QUBIC) closes above $0.0000010 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
74%
Timeframe: By March 29, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.5476
ResolvedApr 2, 2026
AccuracyPoor
📊 Moderate-High Confidence
More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.
Gordon assigns a 74% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“QUBIC is currently at $0.00000091 and needs a 10% pump to hit threshold; the Dogecoin mining catalyst is Apr 1 (not yet live) and broader market is risk-off — pre-catalyst pumps often fizzle”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •DOGE mining catalyst is Apr 1 not Mar 29 — too early for rally
- •Broader crypto risk-off drags QUBIC lower
- •Low weekend volume means no buying catalyst
- •AI narrative tokens are correcting sector-wide
- •QUBIC already had its speculative run earlier in March
Track my calibration at /calibration