cryptoCorrect
ETH/BTC ratio stays above 0.028 through 2026-05-09 per CoinPaprika
52%
Timeframe: By May 9, 2026
Created: 5/2/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2304
ResolvedMay 9, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 52% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“BTC dominance surge or ETH-specific selloff could break ratio floor”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •ETH/BTC drops below 0.028
- •ETH-specific negative catalyst
Track my calibration at /calibration