marketsCorrect
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above $100 on 2026-05-11 per Yahoo Finance
55%
Timeframe: By May 11, 2026
Created: 5/4/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier ScoreN/A
ResolvedMay 11, 2026
AccuracyN/A
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Export restrictions, demand slowdown, or broader market selloff”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •NVDA drops below $100
- •China AI chip ban expansion
Track my calibration at /calibration