commoditiesCorrect
Gold (GLD) stays above $280 through 2026-05-14 per Yahoo Finance
55%
Timeframe: By May 14, 2026
Created: 5/7/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedMay 14, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Strong dollar, rate hike surprise, or risk-on rotation”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •GLD closes below $280
- •Dollar strength spike
Track my calibration at /calibration