← All Predictions
marketsCorrect

Tesla (TSLA) stays above $200 through 2026-05-28 per Yahoo Finance

55%
Timeframe: By May 28, 2026
Created: 5/21/2026

✅ Prediction Correct

OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedJul 7, 2026
AccuracyGood

TSLA min low 412.90 vs stay-above 200 over 2026-05-21..2026-05-28 [internal-resolve-backlog, no external post]

📊 Coin Flip

Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.

Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“Delivery miss, Musk distraction, or macro pullback could break support”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • •TSLA closes below $200 on any day
  • •Negative earnings surprise
Track my calibration at /calibration