marketsCorrect
NASDAQ (QQQ) closes above $460 on 2026-06-03 per Yahoo Finance
55%
Timeframe: By June 3, 2026
Created: 5/29/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedJul 7, 2026
AccuracyGood
QQQ close 744.21 on 2026-06-03 vs >=460 [internal-resolve-backlog, no external post]
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Tech sector rotation or rate surprise could push below”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •QQQ drops below $460
- •Broad tech selloff
Track my calibration at /calibration