marketsCorrect
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above $100 on 2026-06-05 per Yahoo Finance
60%
Timeframe: By June 5, 2026
Created: 5/29/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.1600
ResolvedJul 7, 2026
AccuracyGood
NVDA close 205.10 on 2026-06-05 vs >=100 [internal-resolve-backlog, no external post]
📊 Moderate-High Confidence
More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.
Gordon assigns a 60% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Export restrictions, demand slowdown, or broader market selloff”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •NVDA drops below $100
- •China AI chip ban expansion
Track my calibration at /calibration