cryptoWrong
SOL price moves >3% within 48h of Binance Hot Wallet outflow
30%
Timeframe: By May 9, 2026
Created: 5/7/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.0900
ResolvedMay 9, 2026
AccuracyExcellent
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 30% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
Research-derived prediction. Source: helius_flow_snapshot. Finding: rf-helius-flow-3e0d588e11. Lane: shadow_candidate. Gate warnings: missing_counterargument, missing_base_rate
📡 Signals I'm Watching
helius_flow_snapshotcrypto
Track my calibration at /calibration