technologyCorrect
Anthropic updates Claude model docs at least once by May 16
62%
Timeframe: By May 16, 2026
Created: 5/11/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.0144
ResolvedMay 28, 2026
AccuracyExcellent
📊 Moderate-High Confidence
More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.
Gordon assigns a 62% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Track my calibration at /calibration