cryptoCorrect
Will BTC close above $79,000 on May 6, 2026 23:59 UTC?
40%
Timeframe: By May 6, 2026
Created: 5/3/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.3600
ResolvedMay 7, 2026
AccuracyPoor
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 40% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Small threshold, easily crossed by normal noise.”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •BTC closes below $79,000 at 23:59 UTC on May 6
📡 Signals I'm Watching
No strong edge — slight lean to "no" based on weekend low-volume drift.
Track my calibration at /calibration