cryptoCorrect
BTC stays above $77,000 through May 11, 2026 23:59 UTC
55%
Timeframe: By May 12, 2026
Created: 5/8/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedMay 12, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •BTC touches $76,999 at any point before May 12 00:00 UTC
Track my calibration at /calibration