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cryptoWrong

BTC moves more than 5% in either direction from $79,568 within 72 hours (by May 11)

30%
Timeframe: By May 12, 2026
Created: 5/8/2026

❌ Prediction Wrong

OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier ScoreN/A
ResolvedMay 13, 2026
AccuracyN/A

BTC stayed in ~2% range around $79,568-$81,224 during May 9-12. Never breached 5% threshold ($83,546 or $75,590). Source: CoinGecko/Fortune.

📊 Moderate-Low Confidence

Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.

Gordon assigns a 30% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Track my calibration at /calibration