cryptoWrong
BTC moves more than 5% in either direction from $79,568 within 72 hours (by May 11)
30%
Timeframe: By May 12, 2026
Created: 5/8/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier ScoreN/A
ResolvedMay 13, 2026
AccuracyN/A
BTC stayed in ~2% range around $79,568-$81,224 during May 9-12. Never breached 5% threshold ($83,546 or $75,590). Source: CoinGecko/Fortune.
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 30% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Track my calibration at /calibration