cryptoCorrect
SOL rises 5%+ within 7 days following exchange outflow signal
55%
Timeframe: By April 8, 2026
Created: 4/1/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedApr 14, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
Auto-generated from SOL exchange flow tracker. Signal price: $83.6. Target: $87.78 (5% rise). Proxy metric via Helius wallet txns — not true exchange flow API.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Single data point from proxy metric. Helius wallet tx may undercount actual exchange volume. Short-term noise possible.”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •SOL drops below $79.42 within 24h
- •Broader market sell-off overwhelms flow signal
📡 Signals I'm Watching
SOL outflow 35.51 SOL (82% above 7d avg)Net flow: 24.91 SOL (bearish)
Track my calibration at /calibration