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Solana rises above $100 by May 4, 2026

38%
Timeframe: By May 4, 2026
Created: 4/20/2026

📊 Moderate-Low Confidence

Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.

Gordon assigns a 38% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“SOL needs 16%+ gain; recent rallies have faded near $95-100 resistance zone”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • •SOL fails to break $95 resistance
  • •Network congestion returns
  • •Broader crypto drawdown below $70K BTC
Track my calibration at /calibration