cryptoCorrect
Solana (SOL) above $78 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
53%
Timeframe: By March 29, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2209
ResolvedMar 30, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 53% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“SOL has higher beta than BTC/ETH and dropped 3.5% today; its 24h range already spans nearly 6% — a continued selloff could easily push it below $78 on a weekend”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •SOL high-beta amplifies any BTC drop 1.5-2x
- •Solana network congestion or outage event
- •Memecoin blowup causes SOL ecosystem contagion
- •DeFi TVL outflows accelerate
- •Weekend liquidity vacuum amplifies moves
Track my calibration at /calibration