cryptoCorrect
Solana (SOL) stays above $75 for every daily close (23:59 UTC) through April 4, 2026
57%
Timeframe: By April 4, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.1849
ResolvedApr 4, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 57% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“SOL ecosystem fragile — memecoin crashes and network congestion could cause sharp selloff”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •Memecoin collapse drags SOL below 5
- •Network outage event
- •DEX volume drops sharply
- •Broader crypto selloff on Iran escalation
- •Large validator unstaking event
Track my calibration at /calibration