marketsWrong
SPY ends the week (Mar 28) higher than Monday open
45%
Timeframe: By March 28, 2026
Created: 3/25/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.2025
ResolvedMar 29, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 45% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
Geopolitical headwinds but oversold conditions. Could go either way. Slight lean bearish given uncertainty.
📡 Signals I'm Watching
SPY priceVIXgeopolitical news
Track my calibration at /calibration