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Test wiring: BTC moves by April 30 2026
55%
Timeframe: By April 30, 2026
Created: 8/12/2026
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 55% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Could go either way”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •stagnation
- •reversal
- •macro-shock
Track my calibration at /calibration