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Test wiring overcap2: BTC skyrockets

70%
Timeframe: By April 30, 2026
Created: 8/12/2026

📊 Moderate-High Confidence

More likely than not, but significant factors could change the outcome.

Gordon assigns a 70% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.

Quick Take

😈 Devil's Advocate

The strongest argument against this prediction:

“Market crash is more likely”

⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong

Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:

  • •crash
  • •stagnation
  • •regulation
Track my calibration at /calibration