marketsWrong
VIX stays below $25 through end of week
40%
Timeframe: By March 28, 2026
Created: 3/27/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.1600
ResolvedMar 28, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 40% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
VIX currently ~18. No major catalysts expected but surprises happen.
Track my calibration at /calibration