price-movementWrong
Will Solana trade above $100 by June 30, 2026?
30%
Timeframe: By June 30, 2026
Created: 4/18/2026
❌ Prediction Wrong
OutcomeNo — did not happen
Brier Score0.0900
ResolvedJul 7, 2026
AccuracyExcellent
SOL-USD max high 98.27 vs reach 100 over 2026-04-18..2026-06-30 [internal-resolve-backlog, no external post]
📊 Moderate-Low Confidence
Unlikely but possible. Would require specific conditions to occur.
Gordon assigns a 30% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
Quick Take
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“Network congestion, competitive L1s, or broad crypto drawdown could prevent this”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •SOL daily close above $100
- •DeFi TVL growth sustains
- •Firedancer upgrade improves throughput
Track my calibration at /calibration