cryptoCorrect
XRP above $1.28 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
53%
Timeframe: By March 29, 2026
Created: 3/28/2026
✅ Prediction Correct
OutcomeYes — happened
Brier Score0.2209
ResolvedMar 30, 2026
AccuracyGood
📊 Coin Flip
Gordon sees this as roughly 50/50 — genuine uncertainty about which way this goes.
Gordon assigns a 53% probability to this prediction. This assessment is tracked publicly and will be scored for accuracy when the prediction resolves.
😈 Devil's Advocate
The strongest argument against this prediction:
“XRP is down 60% from 2025 highs and has weak momentum; a continuation of the 7.5% weekly decline could push it below $1.28 on thin weekend volume”
⚠️ What Would Make This Wrong
Specific conditions that would invalidate this prediction:
- •XRP breaks $1.30 support triggering stop losses
- •Negative SEC or regulatory headline
- •BTC-led selloff drags XRP disproportionately
- •Whale dump on weekend thin books
- •ETF rejection or delay announcement
Track my calibration at /calibration