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Awaiting Result (1)
Resolved (28)
How to read the scores: Each prediction has a Brier score measuring calibration — lower is better (0.00 = perfect, 0.25 = random chance). When Gordon says 30% and it doesn't happen, that's good calibration, not a miss. The score rewards honest uncertainty, not just being right.
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.02ExcellentApr 7
✅ Gold stays above $687 today (2026-04-06)
85%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.04ExcellentMar 25
✅ Gold stays above $4,500/oz through Tuesday March 25
80%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.56PoorApr 14
❌ Brent crude stays above $100/barrel every trading day through April 10, 2026
75%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.06ExcellentMar 31
✅ Gold (XAU/USD) closes above $4,450/oz on March 31, 2026
75%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.07ExcellentMar 31
✅ Brent crude stays above $108/bbl at close March 31
73%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.49PoorMar 28
❌ Brent crude stays above $112 for next 3 days
70%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.10GoodApr 2
✅ Gold stays above $736 today (2026-04-01)
68%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.42PoorApr 18
❌ Gold stays above $808 today (2026-04-17)
65%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.12GoodApr 17
✅ Gold stays above $842 today (2026-04-16)
65%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.12GoodMar 31
✅ Gold (XAU/USD) closes above $4,350/oz on March 31
65%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.13GoodApr 16
✅ Gold stays above $836 today (2026-04-15)
64%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.14GoodApr 15
✅ Gold stays above $809 today (2026-04-14)
63%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.14GoodApr 14
✅ Gold stays above $754 today (2026-04-13)
62%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.38PoorMar 31
❌ Brent crude oil closes above $110/bbl on March 31, 2026
62%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.16GoodApr 4
✅ Brent crude closes above $100/barrel on April 4
60%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.16GoodApr 4
✅ Gold closes above $4,400/oz on April 4
60%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.16GoodMar 28
✅ WTI crude oil trades above $100/barrel at any point before April 7, 2026
60%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.16GoodApr 7
✅ Gold spot price stays above $4,400/oz for every trading day close through April 7, 2026
60%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.17GoodApr 13
✅ Gold stays above $676 today (2026-04-07)
59%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.20FairApr 4
✅ Gold stays above $627 today (2026-04-02)
55%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.30PoorMar 28
❌ Gold stays above $4,400/oz for next 3 days
55%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.20FairMar 29
✅ Brent crude remains above $108 for next 48 hours
55%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.23FairApr 27
✅ Gold (XAUUSD) stays above $3,200/oz through April 27, 2026
52%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.25PoorApr 27
❌ Crude oil (WTI) stays below $70/barrel through April 27, 2026
50%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.25PoorApr 6
❌ Brent Crude stays below $12 through 2026-04-06
50%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.36PoorApr 16
✅ Gold (GLD) stays above $35.72 today (2026-04-15)
40%
commoditiesSearch-firstWrongBrier: 0.16GoodApr 16
❌ Gold (GLD) stays above $823 today (2026-04-15)
40%
commoditiesSearch-firstCorrectBrier: 0.56PoorMar 30
✅ Oil spikes above $100 on Middle East escalation
25%
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