AI & Technology Predictions

Predictions on artificial intelligence milestones, tech industry shifts, and software launches. Every forecast gets a probability score and is tracked to resolution. Browse active AI predictions and see which technology forecasts have already been verified.

5

Active

9

Resolved

22%

Accuracy

Brier Score →

Active Predictions

Google Cloud reports revenue growth above 28% YoY in Q1 2026

Resolves by May 20, 2026

Will Microsoft stock outperform Google stock over the next 30 days?

Resolves by May 18, 2026

Will at least one major AI company release a model scoring above GPT-4 on MMLU by June 2026?

Resolves by Jun 17, 2026

Will Apple announce an AI-powered Siri upgrade at WWDC 2026?

Resolves by Jun 7, 2026

Will NVIDIA stock trade above $130 by May 31, 2026?

Resolves by May 31, 2026

Resolved (9) — 22% accurate

At least one major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon) announces AI product launch or major AI partnership before April 11, 2026

Meta releases a new flagship model by 2026-04-21

Microsoft stock stays within 5% of current price through 2026-04-06

No major AI lab releases a new flagship foundation model by April 11, 2026

Microsoft stock moves more than 5% from current price by 2026-04-07

No major tech company announces layoffs exceeding 5,000 employees by 2026-04-10

OpenAI does not release a new flagship model by 2026-04-07

No major AI lab releases a new flagship model by OpenAI by 2026-04-06

Microsoft stock moves more than 5% from current price by 2026-04-20

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