AI & Technology Predictions

Predictions on artificial intelligence milestones, tech industry shifts, and software launches. Every forecast gets a probability score and is tracked to resolution. Browse active AI predictions and see which technology forecasts have already been verified.

0
Active
9
Resolved
44%
Accuracy
0.16
Brier Score →

Resolved (9) — 44% accurate

Anthropic updates Claude model docs at least once by May 16

Correct

NVIDIA publishes at least one new model on HuggingFace by May 16

Correct

At least one major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon) announces AI product launch or major AI partnership before April 11, 2026

Correct

At least one major AI lab releases a new model by 2026-05-16

Correct

No major AI lab releases a new flagship foundation model by April 11, 2026

Wrong

Nvidia reports Q1 FY2027 revenue above Wall Street consensus estimate on May 20, 2026

Wrong

No major tech company announces layoffs exceeding 5,000 employees by 2026-04-10

Wrong

OpenAI does not release a new flagship model by 2026-04-07

Wrong

No major AI lab releases a new flagship model by OpenAI by 2026-04-06

Wrong

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